Showing posts with label C. Show all posts
Showing posts with label C. Show all posts

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Regret

It's easy to feel regretful in the options market. Think about when you were so sure you should buy a stock and didn't. The next day it goes up 15%. Now multiply that regret by, oh, anywhere from 10x to 30x. It's easy to feel down about not buying or selling, but that is part of the game. Take emotion out and put educated guessing in (ya, that's right, it's just like poker... you can only guess how good your play is because you don't know the future). And, remember never to miss opportunities because of regret, because you just end up regretting more.

But, alas, I lie, because I can't help but feeling regret. Regret that people are not buying C, LEH, WB like crazy and shooting them up 10-15% so I can get some cheap puts. Seriously, people are losing their houses, and others are willing to buy into financials that are responsible for this? The worst is yet to come, but before then, why not buy more, cuz you'll get it back eventually. Right?

My positions are all gone right now, as I'm waiting for a pullback and a better entry point.

BTW, as I'm writing this, financials are moving up... niiice...

Sunday, July 6, 2008

Death to financials

I ended up playing some puts on a variety of financials. I've got puts on C (JUL $15, 60 @ 0.35), HBC (JUL $75, 14 @ 1.40) and LEH (JUL 22.50, 7 @ 1.50). C has steadily been steadily dropping in the last few months, but has been floating around the $17 mark the last few days. HBC has been rather strong even with all of the other financials getting absolutely killed. There was a flurry of AUG and SEPT put buying a few days ago, so let's hope something bad happens or investors get scared and I get paid. The reason I got in on LEH is that they have been going up 3 days straight. I got in on the put late Thursday, July 3, because it looked like LEH had hit some resistance. I'm up 25% on LEH in just a matter of minutes, but let's see what Monday brings.